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Segunda División23′
Oviedo0
Girona0

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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Vasco DA Gama to scoreChapecoense-sc vs Vasco DA Gama · 23:3083%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.09 – 1.82Chapecoense-sc · Vasco DA Gama
    1 · X · 219% · 30% · 51%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS53% · 57%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Monterrey to scoreClub Queretaro vs Monterrey · 23:0081%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.34 – 1.65Club Queretaro · Monterrey
    1 · X · 225% · 31% · 44%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS55% · 61%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Mirassol or DrawMirassol vs Atletico-MG · 21:3068%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.30 – 0.99Mirassol · Atletico-MG
    1 · X · 234% · 34% · 32%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS39% · 47%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.

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