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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1RB Leipzig to scoreRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg · 14:3094%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.84 – 1.48RB Leipzig · FC Augsburg
    1 · X · 261% · 26% · 13%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS76% · 74%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2AS Roma to scoreAS Roma vs Sassuolo · 19:4593%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.80 – 1.45AS Roma · Sassuolo
    1 · X · 261% · 26% · 13%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS75% · 73%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Over 1.5 goalsFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München · 14:3091%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.21 – 2.04FSV Mainz 05 · Bayern München
    1 · X · 232% · 29% · 40%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS76% · 78%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Paris Saint Germain or DrawParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes · 20:0591%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.42 – 0.95Paris Saint Germain · Estac Troyes
    1 · X · 264% · 27% · 9%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 57%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Over 1.5 goalsVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen · 17:3090%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.64 – 1.42VfB Stuttgart · Werder Bremen
    1 · X · 250% · 25% · 25%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS73% · 72%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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