AI predictions for today's matches, free and updated dailySee picks
1st Division AI statistical preview
Sopoti LibrazhdWDLLD
11:30
Sat 24 Oct 2026
OrikuLLLLL

Преглед на мача

1st Division: Sopoti Librazhd (#11) приема Oriku (#12). Скорошна форма — Sopoti Librazhd: 1П 2Р 2З; Oriku: 0П 0Р 5З. Sopoti Librazhd е фаворит според модела.

Модел PickLab: победа на Sopoti Librazhd 61%, равенство 27%, победа на Oriku 12%. Очаквани голове: Sopoti Librazhd 2.04 – 0.73 Oriku (общо 2.8). Най-вероятен резултат: 1–1 (13%). И двата отбора вкарват: 47%. Над 2,5 гола: 49%.

Генерирано автоматично от статистическия модел на PickLab и последните резултати. Не е съвет за залагания.

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson + Dixon–Coles
61%Sopoti Librazhd winHighest estimate
=28%Draw
11%Oriku win

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities
Sopoti Librazhd2.04xG0.73Oriku
Most likely scores1–112.6%2–011.7%1–011.4%
75%Over 1.5
49%Over 2.5
29%Over 3.5
47%Both score

Test your own markets

Tick Over 2.5, Both teams to score, a correct score or any combination and see the probability from the v2 model.

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Form & trends

Last completed matches

How this prediction is built

  1. League baseline. Expected goals start from this competition’s real scoring averages at home (1.36) and away (1.03) per match.
  2. Attack and defence ratings. Each team is rated against that baseline from the season table and its last 20 matches, with older matches fading (half-life ~90 days).
  3. Opponent adjustment. Goals against weak defences count less, goals against strong ones count more.
  4. Regression to the mean. Small samples are pulled toward the league average so one big result does not distort the estimate.
  5. Poisson + Dixon–Coles. Expected goals generate a probability for every scoreline; a low-score correction fixes the known underestimation of draws and 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1.
  6. Markets. 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score are read from that scoreline grid.
1.03 / 1.33Sopoti Librazhd attack / defence
0.48 / 1.67Oriku attack / defence

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00). Attack above 1 scores more than average; defence above 1 concedes more.

A statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H