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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Benevento to scoreBenevento vs Catanzaro · 18:0087%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.04 – 1.28Benevento · Catanzaro
    1 · X · 253% · 30% · 17%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Recreativo Huelva to scoreRecreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano · 20:0086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.97 – 1.15Recreativo Huelva · Rayo Vallecano
    1 · X · 256% · 22% · 22%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS60% · 59%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Lazio to scoreSassuolo vs Lazio · 17:3085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.15 – 1.94Sassuolo · Lazio
    1 · X · 216% · 30% · 53%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS56% · 60%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Manacor to scoreManacor vs Villarreal · 20:0085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.91 – 1.42Manacor · Villarreal
    1 · X · 249% · 22% · 29%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS65% · 65%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5AS Roma or DrawAS Roma vs Cagliari · 19:4584%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.73 – 0.86AS Roma · Cagliari
    1 · X · 254% · 31% · 16%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS45% · 49%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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