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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Toulouse to scoreToulouse vs Strasbourg · 19:4586%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.02 – 1.46Toulouse · Strasbourg
    1 · X · 248% · 29% · 23%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS64% · 67%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Over 1.5 goalsHamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 19:3086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.72 – 1.86Hamburger SV · Borussia Mönchengladbach
    1 · X · 238% · 29% · 33%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS66% · 70%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3PEC Zwolle to scoreWillem II vs PEC Zwolle · 19:0086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.35 – 1.92Willem II · PEC Zwolle
    1 · X · 219% · 31% · 50%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS60% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Oxford City to scoreOxford City vs Leicester · 19:4585%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.93 – 1.27Oxford City · Leicester
    1 · X · 253% · 22% · 25%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS62% · 61%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Independiente or DrawIndependiente vs Deportivo Riestra · 22:1581%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.03 – 0.66Independiente · Deportivo Riestra
    1 · X · 243% · 38% · 19%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS24% · 32%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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