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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1FC Augsburg to scoreFC Augsburg vs Union Berlin · 13:3095%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals3.27 – 1.43FC Augsburg · Union Berlin
    1 · X · 266% · 22% · 12%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS81% · 74%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2FSV Mainz 05 to scoreFSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen · 13:3094%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals3.53 – 1.36FSV Mainz 05 · Werder Bremen
    1 · X · 260% · 21% · 19%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS82% · 74%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Lazio or DrawLazio vs Parma · 18:4590%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.06 – 0.65Lazio · Parma
    1 · X · 263% · 27% · 10%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS47% · 44%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Borussia Dortmund to scoreBorussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 16:3089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.32 – 1.44Borussia Dortmund · Eintracht Frankfurt
    1 · X · 253% · 27% · 19%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS69% · 70%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Chelsea to scoreChelsea vs Tottenham · 16:3089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.25 – 1.43Chelsea · Tottenham
    1 · X · 253% · 27% · 20%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS68% · 69%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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