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  1. 1Inter Miami to scoreInter Miami vs FC Cincinnati · 23:3092%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.68 – 1.59Inter Miami · FC Cincinnati
    1 · X · 256% · 25% · 18%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS76% · 75%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Over 1.5 goalsMonza vs Napoli · 19:4587%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.75 – 1.88Monza · Napoli
    1 · X · 229% · 29% · 42%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS67% · 71%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Toronto FC to scoreToronto FC vs DC United · 23:3086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.00 – 1.31Toronto FC · DC United
    1 · X · 251% · 29% · 21%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Fluminense or DrawFluminense vs Internacional · 22:3084%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.66 – 0.83Fluminense · Internacional
    1 · X · 253% · 31% · 16%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS43% · 47%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5RB Bragantino or DrawRB Bragantino vs Chapecoense-sc · 22:3084%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.71 – 0.88RB Bragantino · Chapecoense-sc
    1 · X · 253% · 31% · 16%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS45% · 49%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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