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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Covadonga to scoreCovadonga vs Valladolid · 19:0089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.16 – 1.19Covadonga · Valladolid
    1 · X · 260% · 20% · 20%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS65% · 62%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Athletic Club to scorePrat vs Athletic Club · 20:0084%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.25 – 1.82Prat · Athletic Club
    1 · X · 226% · 23% · 51%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS59% · 60%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Atlético Baleares to scoreAtlético Baleares vs Eldense · 18:0083%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.76 – 1.07Atlético Baleares · Eldense
    1 · X · 254% · 24% · 23%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS54% · 54%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Guijuelo to scoreGuijuelo vs Sporting Gijon · 19:0082%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.70 – 1.22Guijuelo · Sporting Gijon
    1 · X · 249% · 24% · 27%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS56% · 58%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Atletico-MG to scoreAtletico-MG vs Cruzeiro · 22:3081%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.67 – 1.28Atletico-MG · Cruzeiro
    1 · X · 245% · 31% · 24%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS54% · 60%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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