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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Flamengo or DrawFlamengo vs Atletico-MG · 23:0086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.51 – 0.67Flamengo · Atletico-MG
    1 · X · 253% · 32% · 14%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS36% · 39%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Paris Saint Germain to scoreParis Saint Germain vs Lyon · 19:3085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.90 – 1.36Paris Saint Germain · Lyon
    1 · X · 248% · 29% · 22%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS60% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Sevilla to scoreSevilla vs Osasuna · 20:0084%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.89 – 1.19Sevilla · Osasuna
    1 · X · 251% · 30% · 20%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS56% · 60%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Benfica to scoreSanta Clara vs Benfica · 18:4581%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.10 – 1.66Santa Clara · Benfica
    1 · X · 221% · 31% · 48%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS50% · 55%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Over 1.5 goalsUnion Santa Fe vs Estudiantes L.P. · 22:0074%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.39 – 1.26Union Santa Fe · Estudiantes L.P.
    1 · X · 232% · 33% · 36%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS47% · 55%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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