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  1. 1Benfica or DrawEstrela vs Benfica · 20:3093%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals0.96 – 2.85Estrela · Benfica
    1 · X · 27% · 24% · 69%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS68% · 60%Goal markets
    Sample17 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Away or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Over 1.5 goalsAtletico Madrid vs Barcelona · 20:0085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.58 – 1.84Atletico Madrid · Barcelona
    1 · X · 227% · 29% · 44%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS63% · 68%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Over 1.5 goalsUtrecht vs NEC Nijmegen · 19:0085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.54 – 1.88Utrecht · NEC Nijmegen
    1 · X · 234% · 29% · 36%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS63% · 67%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Over 1.5 goalsLens vs Marseille · 19:4584%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.67 – 1.66Lens · Marseille
    1 · X · 231% · 30% · 39%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS62% · 67%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Lanus or DrawCentral Cordoba de Santiago vs Lanus · 22:3083%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals0.74 – 1.38Central Cordoba de Santiago · Lanus
    1 · X · 217% · 34% · 49%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS34% · 41%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Away or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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