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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Ajax to scoreAjax vs Atalanta · 19:0089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.18 – 1.37Ajax · Atalanta
    1 · X · 256% · 20% · 24%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS69% · 66%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Beşiktaş to scoreBeşiktaş vs Crystal Palace · 19:0087%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.10 – 1.20Beşiktaş · Crystal Palace
    1 · X · 254% · 28% · 18%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 62%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Over 1.5 goals1899 Hoffenheim vs Lyon · 19:0086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.62 – 1.961899 Hoffenheim · Lyon
    1 · X · 226% · 29% · 45%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS66% · 70%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Over 1.5 goalsMonaco vs SC Freiburg · 19:0086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.72 – 1.78Monaco · SC Freiburg
    1 · X · 238% · 22% · 40%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS68% · 68%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5FC Midtjylland to scoreFC Midtjylland vs St. Truiden · 19:0086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.99 – 1.38FC Midtjylland · St. Truiden
    1 · X · 252% · 22% · 27%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS65% · 65%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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