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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Toulouse to scoreToulouse vs Strasbourg · 19:4586%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.02 – 1.46Toulouse · Strasbourg1 · X · 248% · 29% · 23%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS64% · 67%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Over 1.5 goalsHamburger SV vs Borussia Mönchengladbach · 19:3086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.72 – 1.86Hamburger SV · Borussia Mönchengladbach1 · X · 238% · 29% · 33%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS66% · 70%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3PEC Zwolle to scoreWillem II vs PEC Zwolle · 19:0086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.35 – 1.92Willem II · PEC Zwolle1 · X · 219% · 31% · 50%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 64%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Oxford City to scoreOxford City vs Leicester · 19:4585%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.93 – 1.27Oxford City · Leicester1 · X · 253% · 22% · 25%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS62% · 61%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Independiente or DrawIndependiente vs Deportivo Riestra · 22:1581%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.03 – 0.66Independiente · Deportivo Riestra1 · X · 243% · 38% · 19%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS24% · 32%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.