Premier League International Cup AI statistical preview

Avant-match

Premier League International Cup : Middlesbrough U21 reçoit Valencia U21. Forme récente — Middlesbrough U21 : 1V 2N 2D ; Valencia U21 : 3V 0N 2D. Middlesbrough U21 est le favori du modèle.

Modèle PickLab : victoire de Middlesbrough U21 47 %, nul 23 %, victoire de Valencia U21 30 %. Buts attendus : Middlesbrough U21 1.85 – 1.45 Valencia U21 (total 3.3). Score le plus probable : 1–1 (10 %). Les deux équipes marquent : 65 %. Plus de 2,5 buts : 64 %.

Généré automatiquement à partir du modèle statistique PickLab et des résultats récents. Ce n’est pas un conseil de paris.

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson model
47%Middlesbrough U21 winHighest estimate
=23%Draw
30%Valencia U21 win

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities
Middlesbrough U211.85xG1.45Valencia U21
Most likely scores1–19.9%2–19.2%1–27.2%
84%Over 1.5
64%Over 2.5
42%Over 3.5
65%Both score

Test your own markets

Tick Over 2.5, Both teams to score, a correct score or any combination and see the probability from the v2 model.

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Form & trends

Last completed matches

How this prediction is built

  1. Recent results. Last 20 completed matches of each team, weighted so newer matches count more.
  2. Home and away form. Goals scored and conceded are weighted by venue.
  3. Poisson goal model. Expected goals for both sides generate a probability for every scoreline up to 12–12.
  4. Markets. Probabilities for 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score come from that scoreline grid.

A statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H