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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Recreativo Huelva to scoreRecreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano · 20:0086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.97 – 1.15Recreativo Huelva · Rayo Vallecano1 · X · 256% · 22% · 22%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 59%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Manacor to scoreManacor vs Villarreal · 20:0085%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.91 – 1.42Manacor · Villarreal1 · X · 249% · 22% · 29%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS65% · 65%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3AS Roma or DrawAS Roma vs Cagliari · 19:4584%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.73 – 0.86AS Roma · Cagliari1 · X · 254% · 31% · 16%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS45% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Ascoli or DrawAscoli vs Sampdoria · 19:0084%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.72 – 0.88Ascoli · Sampdoria1 · X · 253% · 31% · 16%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS46% · 49%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Don Benito to scoreDon Benito vs Extremadura 1924 · 19:3083%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.78 – 1.33Don Benito · Extremadura 19241 · X · 248% · 23% · 29%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 61%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.