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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Inter Miami to scoreInter Miami vs FC Cincinnati · 23:3092%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.68 – 1.59Inter Miami · FC Cincinnati1 · X · 256% · 25% · 18%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS76% · 75%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Covadonga to scoreCovadonga vs Valladolid · 19:0089%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.16 – 1.19Covadonga · Valladolid1 · X · 260% · 20% · 20%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS65% · 62%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsMonza vs Napoli · 19:4587%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.75 – 1.88Monza · Napoli1 · X · 229% · 29% · 42%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS67% · 71%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Toronto FC to scoreToronto FC vs DC United · 23:3086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.00 – 1.31Toronto FC · DC United1 · X · 251% · 29% · 21%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS61% · 64%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Fluminense or DrawFluminense vs Internacional · 22:3084%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.66 – 0.83Fluminense · Internacional1 · X · 253% · 31% · 16%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS43% · 47%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.