CS Manika vs Sanga Balende Prediction & Stats | Ligue 1

Ligue 1 AI statistical preview

13:00

Wed 21 Oct 2026

Anteprima della partita

Ligue 1: CS Manika (#10) ospita Sanga Balende (#8). Forma recente — CS Manika: 3V 1N 1P; Sanga Balende: 3V 0N 2P. CS Manika è il favorito del modello.

Modello PickLab: vittoria CS Manika 49%, pareggio 31%, vittoria Sanga Balende 20%. Gol attesi: CS Manika 1.18 – 0.63 Sanga Balende (totale 1.8). Risultato più probabile: 1–0 (19%). Entrambe segnano: 32%. Over 2,5 gol: 27%.

Generato automaticamente dal modello statistico PickLab e dai risultati recenti. Non è un consiglio di scommessa.

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson model

49%CS Manika winHighest estimate

=31%Draw

20%Sanga Balende win

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities

CS Manika1.18xG0.63Sanga Balende

Most likely scores1–019.4%0–016.5%1–112.1%

54%Over 1.5

27%Over 2.5

11%Over 3.5

32%Both score

Test your own markets

Tick Over 2.5, Both teams to score, a correct score or any combination and see the probability from the v2 model.

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Top 3 featured picks

Highest-probability markets

★ #180%

CS Manika or Draw

This selection covers two possible match outcomes. Their combined estimated probability is 80%. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

★ #269%

CS Manika to score

The model projects 1.18 goals for CS Manika and calculates a 69% chance they score at least once. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

★ #368%

At least one team fails to score

The model estimates this outcome at 68%, based on recent completed fixtures and its Poisson goal distribution. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

More selections

Over 1.5 goals

54%

Sanga Balende or Draw

51%

Sanga Balende to score

46%

CS Manika 2+ goals

33%

Under 4.5 goals

96%

Featured picks may overlap (for example a team scoring and over 1.5 goals). A high probability does not mean good betting value.

Form & trends

Last completed matches

CS Manika

WDLWW

Scored / game: 1.40
Conceded / game: 0.60
Model sample: 20 matches

05 Aprvs Blessing2–1 27 Mar@ Saint Eloi Lupopo2–0 23 Mar@ Saint-Luc0–1 19 Mar@ FC Tshikas1–1 15 Mar@ Tshinkunku2–0

Sanga Balende

WLWLW

Scored / game: 1.00
Conceded / game: 1.20
Model sample: 20 matches

22 Apr@ Malole2–1 08 Apr@ Tanganyika1–3 29 Marvs Tshinkunku1–0 22 Marvs Simba0–2 14 Mar@ AS New Soger1–0

How this prediction is built

Recent results. Last 20 completed matches of each team, weighted so newer matches count more.
Home and away form. Goals scored and conceded are weighted by venue.
Poisson goal model. Expected goals for both sides generate a probability for every scoreline up to 12–12.
Markets. Probabilities for 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score come from that scoreline grid.

A statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H