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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Toulouse to scoreToulouse vs Strasbourg · 19:4586%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.02 – 1.46Toulouse · Strasbourg1 · X · 248% · 29% · 23%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS64% · 67%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2PEC Zwolle to scoreWillem II vs PEC Zwolle · 19:0086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.35 – 1.92Willem II · PEC Zwolle1 · X · 219% · 31% · 50%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 64%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3San Lorenzo or DrawSan Lorenzo vs Platense · 22:1574%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals0.85 – 0.82San Lorenzo · Platense1 · X · 235% · 39% · 26%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS23% · 33%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Barracas Central or DrawBarracas Central vs Racing Club · 18:0074%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.29 – 0.92Barracas Central · Racing Club1 · X · 242% · 32% · 26%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS37% · 44%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Everton to scoreEverton vs Coventry · 20:0073%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.56 – 0.90Everton · Coventry1 · X · 241% · 32% · 27%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS42% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.