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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Over 1.5 goalsOrlando City SC vs New England Revolution · 21:0088%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.04 – 1.70Orlando City SC · New England Revolution1 · X · 236% · 28% · 35%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS69% · 72%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Philadelphia Union to scorePhiladelphia Union vs Toronto FC · 21:0087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.20 – 1.09Philadelphia Union · Toronto FC1 · X · 257% · 27% · 15%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 60%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsInter Miami vs Charlotte · 21:0087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.94 – 1.66Inter Miami · Charlotte1 · X · 244% · 29% · 27%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS66% · 70%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4CF Pachuca to scoreAtlas vs CF Pachuca · 23:0083%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.51 – 1.72Atlas · CF Pachuca1 · X · 227% · 30% · 43%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 65%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Over 1.5 goalsChicago Fire vs Columbus Crew · 21:0082%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.77 – 1.40Chicago Fire · Columbus Crew1 · X · 236% · 30% · 33%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS58% · 64%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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NewsFootball headlines
More headlines →- Women's Super League: How Man City leapfrogged Chelsea before WSL showdownBBC
- Wrexham 1-1 Wolves: Lewis O'Brien earns a point for the Red DragonsSky Sports
- Newcastle play some of their best football of the season and still cannot winThe Telegraph
- European football: Bayern beat Mainz but Neuer’s record-breaking day turns sourThe Guardian
- Unai Emery, Aston Villa, Manchester United and football’s food chainThe New York Times
Headlines via Google News. Each link opens the original publisher.
How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.