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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Inter to scoreVenezia vs Inter · 17:3088%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.36 – 2.11Venezia · Inter1 · X · 218% · 29% · 53%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS64% · 66%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Charlotte or DrawCharlotte vs CF Montreal · 23:3087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.12 – 0.87Charlotte · CF Montreal1 · X · 260% · 27% · 13%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS54% · 53%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsMonza vs Napoli · 19:4587%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.75 – 1.88Monza · Napoli1 · X · 229% · 29% · 42%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS67% · 71%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Juventus or DrawGenoa vs Juventus · 19:4583%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals0.81 – 1.46Genoa · Juventus1 · X · 217% · 33% · 50%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS38% · 44%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedAway or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Udinese or DrawParma vs Udinese · 17:3074%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.12 – 1.24Parma · Udinese1 · X · 226% · 34% · 40%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS40% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedAway or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.