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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1AS Roma to scoreAS Roma vs Sassuolo · 19:4593%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.80 – 1.45AS Roma · Sassuolo1 · X · 261% · 26% · 13%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS75% · 73%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Over 1.5 goalsFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München · 14:3092%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.22 – 2.03FSV Mainz 05 · Bayern München1 · X · 232% · 28% · 39%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS76% · 78%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen · 17:3090%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.65 – 1.42VfB Stuttgart · Werder Bremen1 · X · 250% · 25% · 25%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS73% · 72%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Over 1.5 goalsADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam · 17:4587%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.80 – 1.83ADO Den Haag · Sparta Rotterdam1 · X · 231% · 29% · 40%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS67% · 71%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Real Madrid or DrawValencia vs Real Madrid · 20:0087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals0.94 – 1.87Valencia · Real Madrid1 · X · 213% · 31% · 56%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS50% · 53%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedAway or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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Headlines via Google News. Each link opens the original publisher.
How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.