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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Inter Miami to scoreInter Miami vs FC Cincinnati · 23:3092%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.68 – 1.59Inter Miami · FC Cincinnati
    1 · X · 256% · 25% · 18%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS76% · 75%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Inter to scoreVenezia vs Inter · 17:3088%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.34 – 2.13Venezia · Inter
    1 · X · 217% · 29% · 54%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS64% · 66%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Charlotte or DrawCharlotte vs CF Montreal · 23:3087%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.12 – 0.87Charlotte · CF Montreal
    1 · X · 260% · 27% · 13%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS54% · 53%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Over 1.5 goalsMonza vs Napoli · 19:4587%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.75 – 1.88Monza · Napoli
    1 · X · 229% · 29% · 42%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS67% · 71%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Toronto FC to scoreToronto FC vs DC United · 23:3086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.00 – 1.31Toronto FC · DC United
    1 · X · 251% · 29% · 21%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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