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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Barcelona to scoreBarcelona vs Real Madrid · 20:0090%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.39 – 1.63Barcelona · Real Madrid1 · X · 252% · 27% · 21%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS73% · 73%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Over 1.5 goalsSC Freiburg vs Bayern München · 16:3087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.02 – 1.62SC Freiburg · Bayern München1 · X · 237% · 29% · 34%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS67% · 70%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Real Sociedad to scoreReal Sociedad vs Levante · 17:3086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.01 – 1.45Real Sociedad · Levante1 · X · 249% · 29% · 23%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS64% · 67%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4SC Braga or DrawNacional vs SC Braga · 18:0084%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals0.89 – 1.70Nacional · SC Braga1 · X · 216% · 31% · 53%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS45% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedAway or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Sporting CP to scoreSporting CP vs Academico Viseu · 20:3083%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.82 – 1.22Sporting CP · Academico Viseu1 · X · 249% · 30% · 21%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS56% · 60%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.