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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Flamengo or DrawFlamengo vs Gremio · 22:3089%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.80 – 0.62Flamengo · Gremio1 · X · 260% · 29% · 11%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS41% · 40%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Over 1.5 goalsCardiff vs West Ham · 19:4589%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.78 – 2.08Cardiff · West Ham1 · X · 227% · 28% · 45%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS71% · 73%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsPSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV · 20:0087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.08 – 1.58PSV Eindhoven · Club Brugge KV1 · X · 239% · 28% · 33%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS67% · 70%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Viking to scoreViking vs Sabah FA · 20:0085%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.92 – 1.37Viking · Sabah FA1 · X · 248% · 29% · 22%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS61% · 65%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Over 1.5 goalsRB Leipzig vs Manchester City · 20:0083%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.04 – 1.31RB Leipzig · Manchester City1 · X · 240% · 30% · 30%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS61% · 65%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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- England's Nations League opponents in profileEngland Football | Home
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.