Liga 1 AI statistical preview
Univer ComratLDDLW
11:00
Fri 23 Oct 2026
IskraWLWLD

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson model
35%Univer Comrat win
=22%Draw
43%Iskra winHighest estimate

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities
Univer Comrat1.68xG1.87Iskra
Most likely scores1–19%1–28.4%2–17.6%
87%Over 1.5
69%Over 2.5
47%Over 3.5
69%Both score

Form & trends

Last completed matches

Univer Comrat

LDDLW
Scored / game
1.40
Conceded / game
1.80
Model sample
20 matches
16 Octvs Spartanii Selemet5–409 Oct@ Vulturii Cutezători0–218 Sepvs FCM Ungheni1–111 Sep@ Zimbru II1–105 Sep@ Iskra0–1

Iskra

WLWLD
Scored / game
1.20
Conceded / game
1.00
Model sample
20 matches
16 Octvs FCM Ungheni2–210 Oct@ Spartanii Selemet0–118 Sepvs Zimbru II2–011 Sep@ Vulturii Cutezători1–205 Sepvs Univer Comrat1–0

How this prediction is built

  1. Recent results. Last 20 completed matches of each team, weighted so newer matches count more.
  2. Home and away form. Goals scored and conceded are weighted by venue.
  3. Poisson goal model. Expected goals for both sides generate a probability for every scoreline up to 12–12.
  4. Markets. Probabilities for 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score come from that scoreline grid.

A simple statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H

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