Guadalajara W vs Necaxa W Prediction & Stats | Liga MX Femenil

Liga MX Femenil AI statistical preview

Guadalajara WWLWWW

03:07

Wed 21 Oct 2026

Necaxa WLLLLL

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson model

79%Guadalajara W winHighest estimate

=13%Draw

8%Necaxa W win

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities

Guadalajara W2.86xG0.83Necaxa W

Most likely scores2–010.2%3–09.8%2–18.5%

88%Over 1.5

71%Over 2.5

50%Over 3.5

53%Both score

Top 3 featured picks

Highest-probability markets

★ #194%

Guadalajara W to score

The model projects 2.86 goals for Guadalajara W and calculates a 94% chance they score at least once. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

★ #292%

Guadalajara W or Draw

This selection covers two possible match outcomes. Their combined estimated probability is 92%. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

★ #388%

Over 1.5 goals

The model projects 3.69 combined goals. Its estimated probability of at least two goals is 88%. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

More selections

Guadalajara W to win

79%

Guadalajara W 2+ goals

78%

Over 2.5 goals

71%

Necaxa W to score

56%

Both teams to score

53%

Featured picks may overlap (for example a team scoring and over 1.5 goals). A high probability does not mean good betting value.

Form & trends

Last completed matches

Guadalajara W

WLWWW

Scored / game: 2.00
Conceded / game: 0.60
Model sample: 20 matches

04 Octvs Juárez W1–0 26 Sep@ Cruz Azul W1–0 19 Sep@ Tijuana W2–0 12 Sepvs Monterrey W2–3 05 Sep@ Atlas W4–0

Necaxa W

LLLLL

Scored / game: 0.00
Conceded / game: 3.80
Model sample: 20 matches

04 Octvs Cruz Azul W0–2 29 Sepvs Toluca W0–4 19 Sep@ Monterrey W0–10 13 Sep@ Juárez W0–1 05 Sepvs Atlético San Luis W0–2

How this prediction is built

Recent results. Last 20 completed matches of each team, weighted so newer matches count more.
Home and away form. Goals scored and conceded are weighted by venue.
Poisson goal model. Expected goals for both sides generate a probability for every scoreline up to 12–12.
Markets. Probabilities for 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score come from that scoreline grid.

A simple statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H