Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.
Goals & scorelines
Expected goals and market probabilities
Palmeiras1.66xG0.92Fluminense
Most likely scores1–012.5%1–111.6%2–010.4%
73%Over 1.5
48%Over 2.5
26%Over 3.5
49%Both score
Top 3 featured picks
Highest-probability markets
★ #188%
Under 4.5 goals
Although the model projects 2.58 goals, it assigns 88% to matches finishing with four goals or fewer. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.
★ #281%
Palmeiras to score
The model projects 1.66 goals for Palmeiras and calculates a 81% chance they score at least once. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.
★ #379%
Palmeiras or Draw
This selection covers two possible match outcomes. Their combined estimated probability is 79%. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.
More selections
4
Over 1.5 goals
73%
5
Fluminense to score
60%
6
Palmeiras to win
55%
7
At least one team fails to score
51%
8
Palmeiras 2+ goals
49%
Featured picks may overlap (for example a team scoring and over 1.5 goals). A high probability does not mean good betting value.