CONMEBOL Libertadores AI statistical preview
PalmeirasDWWWW
00:30
Thu 22 Oct 2026
FluminenseWWLLL

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson model
55%Palmeiras winHighest estimate
=24%Draw
21%Fluminense win

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities
Palmeiras1.66xG0.92Fluminense
Most likely scores1–012.5%1–111.6%2–010.4%
73%Over 1.5
48%Over 2.5
26%Over 3.5
49%Both score

Form & trends

Last completed matches

How this prediction is built

  1. Recent results. Last 20 completed matches of each team, weighted so newer matches count more.
  2. Home and away form. Goals scored and conceded are weighted by venue.
  3. Poisson goal model. Expected goals for both sides generate a probability for every scoreline up to 12–12.
  4. Markets. Probabilities for 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score come from that scoreline grid.

A simple statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H