Xankəndi FK vs Cəbrayıl Prediction & Stats | Cup

Cup AI statistical preview

10:00

Thu 29 Oct 2026

Match preview

Cup: Xankəndi FK host Cəbrayıl. Recent form — Xankəndi FK: 1W 1D 3L; Cəbrayıl: 4W 0D 1L. The model sees a balanced match with no clear favourite.

PickLab model: Xankəndi FK win 36%, draw 26%, Cəbrayıl win 38%. Expected goals: Xankəndi FK 1.33 – 1.37 Cəbrayıl (total 2.7). Most likely score: 1–1 (12%). Both teams to score: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Generated automatically from the PickLab statistical model and recent results. Not betting advice.

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson model

36%Xankəndi FK win

=26%Draw

38%Cəbrayıl winHighest estimate

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities

Xankəndi FK1.33xG1.37Cəbrayıl

Most likely scores1–112.2%0–19.2%1–09%

75%Over 1.5

51%Over 2.5

29%Over 3.5

55%Both score

Test your own markets

Tick Over 2.5, Both teams to score, a correct score or any combination and see the probability from the v2 model.

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Top 3 featured picks

Highest-probability markets

★ #175%

Over 1.5 goals

The model projects 2.70 combined goals. Its estimated probability of at least two goals is 75%. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

★ #275%

Cəbrayıl to score

The model projects 1.37 goals for Cəbrayıl and calculates a 75% chance they score at least once. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

★ #374%

Xankəndi FK to score

The model projects 1.33 goals for Xankəndi FK and calculates a 74% chance they score at least once. It is featured because it ranks among the three highest estimated probabilities in the eligible eight-pick shortlist; this is not a measure of betting value.

More selections

Cəbrayıl or Draw

64%

Xankəndi FK or Draw

62%

Both teams to score

55%

At least one team fails to score

45%

Under 4.5 goals

86%

Featured picks may overlap (for example a team scoring and over 1.5 goals). A high probability does not mean good betting value.

Form & trends

Last completed matches

Xankəndi FK

LLDWL

Scored / game: 0.60
Conceded / game: 1.20
Model sample: 8 matches

21 Octvs Mingəçevir0–1 15 Octvs Şahdağ1–009 Oct@ Şimal1–1 18 Sepvs MOIK0–2 10 Sep@ Cəbrayıl1–2

Cəbrayıl

WWWLW

Scored / game: 3.00
Conceded / game: 0.60
Model sample: 20 matches

22 Octvs Zaqatala7–0 16 Oct@ Karvan1–2 10 Octvs Baku Sportinq2–0 17 Sep@ Mingəçevir3–0 10 Sepvs Xankəndi FK2–1

How this prediction is built

Recent results. Last 20 completed matches of each team, weighted so newer matches count more.
Home and away form. Goals scored and conceded are weighted by venue.
Poisson goal model. Expected goals for both sides generate a probability for every scoreline up to 12–12.
Markets. Probabilities for 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score come from that scoreline grid.

A statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H