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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Navalcarnero to scoreNavalcarnero vs Real Betis · 18:0082%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.73 – 1.39Navalcarnero · Real Betis1 · X · 245% · 23% · 31%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 62%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Tarancón to scoreTarancón vs Levante · 18:0079%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.58 – 0.99Tarancón · Levante1 · X · 251% · 25% · 24%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS47% · 50%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Calvo Sotelo to scoreCalvo Sotelo vs Albacete · 17:3077%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.46 – 1.02Calvo Sotelo · Albacete1 · X · 247% · 26% · 26%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS45% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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Manchetes via Google News. Cada ligação abre o meio original.
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Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.