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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Benfica to scoreBenfica vs Lech Poznan · 20:0089%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.26 – 1.36Benfica · Lech Poznan1 · X · 255% · 29% · 16%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS66% · 67%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Bayer Leverkusen to scoreBayer Leverkusen vs Marseille · 20:0088%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.15 – 1.35Bayer Leverkusen · Marseille1 · X · 254% · 29% · 17%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS64% · 66%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Ferencvarosi TC to scoreAC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC · 17:4587%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.08 – 2.05AC Milan · Ferencvarosi TC1 · X · 214% · 30% · 56%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS57% · 59%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Over 1.5 goalsLillestrom vs Plzen · 17:4586%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.48 – 2.12Lillestrom · Plzen1 · X · 228% · 26% · 46%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS67% · 68%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Union St. Gilloise or DrawCelta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise · 20:0086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals0.97 – 1.83Celta Vigo · Union St. Gilloise1 · X · 214% · 31% · 55%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS50% · 54%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedAway or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.