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  1. 1Over 1.5 goalsSV Elversberg vs FSV Mainz 05 · 19:3091%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.99 – 2.16SV Elversberg · FSV Mainz 05
    1 · X · 230% · 27% · 43%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS75% · 77%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Villarreal to scoreVillarreal vs Espanyol · 20:0086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.02 – 1.31Villarreal · Espanyol
    1 · X · 251% · 29% · 20%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Paris Saint Germain to scoreLe Havre vs Paris Saint Germain · 18:0085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.32 – 1.88Le Havre · Paris Saint Germain
    1 · X · 220% · 31% · 50%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS59% · 63%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Nice to scoreNice vs Rennes · 18:0074%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.54 – 1.15Nice · Rennes
    1 · X · 236% · 32% · 32%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS48% · 55%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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