AI predictions for today's matches, free and updated dailySee picks
Segunda División AI statistical preview
EldenseWLWLL
17:30
Sun 15 Nov 2026
SabadellWLDLD

Antevisão do jogo

Segunda División: Eldense (#16) recebe Sabadell (#13). Forma recente — Eldense: 2V 0E 3D; Sabadell: 1V 2E 2D. O modelo vê um jogo equilibrado, sem um favorito claro.

Modelo PickLab: vitória do Eldense 35%, empate 37%, vitória do Sabadell 28%. Golos esperados: Eldense 0.93 – 0.95 Sabadell (total 1.9). Resultado mais provável: 0–0 (19%). Ambas marcam: 38%. Mais de 2,5 golos: 28%.

Gerado automaticamente com o modelo estatístico da PickLab e os resultados recentes. Não é aconselhamento de apostas.

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson + Dixon–Coles
35%Eldense win
=37%DrawHighest estimate
28%Sabadell win

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities
Eldense0.93xG0.95Sabadell
Most likely scores0–018.5%1–115.2%1–014.5%
56%Over 1.5
28%Over 2.5
12%Over 3.5
38%Both score

Test your own markets

Tick Over 2.5, Both teams to score, a correct score or any combination and see the probability from the v2 model.

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Form & trends

Last completed matches

How this prediction is built

  1. League baseline. Expected goals start from this competition’s real scoring averages at home (1.56) and away (1.19) per match.
  2. Attack and defence ratings. Each team is rated against that baseline from the season table and its last 20 matches, with older matches fading (half-life ~90 days).
  3. Opponent adjustment. Goals against weak defences count less, goals against strong ones count more.
  4. Regression to the mean. Small samples are pulled toward the league average so one big result does not distort the estimate.
  5. Poisson + Dixon–Coles. Expected goals generate a probability for every scoreline; a low-score correction fixes the known underestimation of draws and 1-0 / 0-1 / 1-1.
  6. Markets. 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score are read from that scoreline grid.
0.76 / 1.05Eldense attack / defence
0.70 / 0.66Sabadell attack / defence

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00). Attack above 1 scores more than average; defence above 1 concedes more.

A statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H