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  1. 1Eintracht Frankfurt to scoreEintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV · 16:3093%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.86 – 1.16Eintracht Frankfurt · Hamburger SV
    1 · X · 265% · 23% · 12%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS72% · 66%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Real Madrid to scoreRacing Santander vs Real Madrid · 15:1589%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.38 – 2.31Racing Santander · Real Madrid
    1 · X · 219% · 27% · 54%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS68% · 68%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Over 1.5 goalsGroningen vs Sparta Rotterdam · 15:4589%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.06 – 1.81Groningen · Sparta Rotterdam
    1 · X · 244% · 28% · 28%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS71% · 73%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Over 1.5 goalsStrasbourg vs Auxerre · 14:0089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.88 – 1.97Strasbourg · Auxerre
    1 · X · 230% · 28% · 41%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS71% · 73%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 18 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Twente to scoreExcelsior vs Twente · 13:3089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.18 – 2.22Excelsior · Twente
    1 · X · 214% · 29% · 57%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS62% · 63%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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