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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Eintracht Frankfurt to scoreEintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburger SV · 16:3093%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.86 – 1.16Eintracht Frankfurt · Hamburger SV1 · X · 265% · 23% · 12%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS72% · 66%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Real Madrid to scoreRacing Santander vs Real Madrid · 15:1589%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.38 – 2.31Racing Santander · Real Madrid1 · X · 219% · 27% · 54%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS68% · 68%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsGroningen vs Sparta Rotterdam · 15:4589%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.06 – 1.81Groningen · Sparta Rotterdam1 · X · 244% · 28% · 28%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS71% · 73%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Over 1.5 goalsStrasbourg vs Auxerre · 14:0089%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.88 – 1.97Strasbourg · Auxerre1 · X · 230% · 28% · 41%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS71% · 73%Goal marketsSample20 + 18 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Twente to scoreExcelsior vs Twente · 13:3089%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.18 – 2.22Excelsior · Twente1 · X · 214% · 29% · 57%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS62% · 63%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.