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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Toulouse to scoreToulouse vs Strasbourg · 19:4586%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.02 – 1.46Toulouse · Strasbourg
    1 · X · 248% · 29% · 23%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS64% · 67%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Oxford City to scoreOxford City vs Leicester · 19:4585%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.93 – 1.27Oxford City · Leicester
    1 · X · 253% · 22% · 25%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS62% · 61%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Velez Sarsfield to scoreUnion Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield · 22:1581%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.36 – 1.64Union Santa Fe · Velez Sarsfield
    1 · X · 226% · 31% · 43%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS55% · 61%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Bolton to scoreDerby vs Bolton · 20:0079%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.16 – 1.58Derby · Bolton
    1 · X · 223% · 32% · 46%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS49% · 56%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Cambridge United to scoreBristol Rovers vs Cambridge United · 19:3079%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.30 – 1.57Bristol Rovers · Cambridge United
    1 · X · 232% · 25% · 44%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS55% · 58%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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