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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Sevilla to scoreSevilla vs Alaves · 20:0081%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.71 – 1.07Sevilla · Alaves
    1 · X · 250% · 31% · 20%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS50% · 55%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Independiente or DrawIndependiente vs Deportivo Riestra · 22:1581%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.03 – 0.66Independiente · Deportivo Riestra
    1 · X · 243% · 38% · 19%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS24% · 32%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Velez Sarsfield to scoreUnion Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield · 22:1581%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.36 – 1.64Union Santa Fe · Velez Sarsfield
    1 · X · 226% · 31% · 43%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS55% · 61%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Bolton to scoreDerby vs Bolton · 20:0079%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.16 – 1.58Derby · Bolton
    1 · X · 223% · 32% · 46%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS49% · 56%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Arouca or DrawFamalicao vs Arouca · 20:4575%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals0.84 – 1.37Famalicao · Arouca
    1 · X · 225% · 31% · 44%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS37% · 43%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Away or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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