Premier League International Cup AI statistical preview

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Premier League International Cup: Middlesbrough U21 принимает Valencia U21. Последняя форма — Middlesbrough U21: 1В 2Н 2П; Valencia U21: 3В 0Н 2П. Middlesbrough U21 — фаворит модели.

Модель PickLab: победа Middlesbrough U21 47%, ничья 23%, победа Valencia U21 30%. Ожидаемые голы: Middlesbrough U21 1.85 – 1.45 Valencia U21 (всего 3.3). Наиболее вероятный счёт: 1–1 (10%). Обе забьют: 65%. Тотал больше 2,5: 64%.

Создано автоматически на основе статистической модели PickLab и последних результатов. Это не совет по ставкам.

Match outcome

1X2 · Poisson model
47%Middlesbrough U21 winHighest estimate
=23%Draw
30%Valencia U21 win

Estimated probabilities, not betting odds. Rounded to total 100%.

Goals & scorelines

Expected goals and market probabilities
Middlesbrough U211.85xG1.45Valencia U21
Most likely scores1–19.9%2–19.2%1–27.2%
84%Over 1.5
64%Over 2.5
42%Over 3.5
65%Both score

Test your own markets

Tick Over 2.5, Both teams to score, a correct score or any combination and see the probability from the v2 model.

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Form & trends

Last completed matches

How this prediction is built

  1. Recent results. Last 20 completed matches of each team, weighted so newer matches count more.
  2. Home and away form. Goals scored and conceded are weighted by venue.
  3. Poisson goal model. Expected goals for both sides generate a probability for every scoreline up to 12–12.
  4. Markets. Probabilities for 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score come from that scoreline grid.

A statistical model, not a trained AI. It does not know about injuries, lineups, motivation or odds. Use it as one more data point.

Match center, lineups & H2H