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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Sabadell or DrawSabadell vs Real Sociedad II · 19:3083%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.68 – 0.92Sabadell · Real Sociedad II1 · X · 252% · 31% · 17%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS46% · 50%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Plymouth Parkway to scorePlymouth Parkway vs Berkhamsted · 19:3081%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.64 – 1.32Plymouth Parkway · Berkhamsted1 · X · 245% · 24% · 31%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS57% · 59%Goal marketsSample18 + 18 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Guadalajara Chivas or DrawLeon vs Guadalajara Chivas · 02:1074%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.11 – 1.26Leon · Guadalajara Chivas1 · X · 226% · 34% · 40%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS41% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedAway or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.