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  1. 1FC Augsburg to scoreFC Augsburg vs Union Berlin · 13:3095%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals3.32 – 1.52FC Augsburg · Union Berlin
    1 · X · 265% · 22% · 13%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS82% · 76%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Over 1.5 goalsFSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen · 13:3094%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals3.58 – 1.45FSV Mainz 05 · Werder Bremen
    1 · X · 260% · 21% · 19%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS83% · 76%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Borussia Dortmund to scoreBorussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt · 16:3090%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.35 – 1.53Borussia Dortmund · Eintracht Frankfurt
    1 · X · 253% · 27% · 20%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS71% · 71%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Lazio or DrawLazio vs Parma · 18:4590%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.09 – 0.69Lazio · Parma
    1 · X · 263% · 27% · 10%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS49% · 45%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Chelsea to scoreChelsea vs Tottenham · 16:3089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.25 – 1.43Chelsea · Tottenham
    1 · X · 253% · 27% · 20%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS68% · 69%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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