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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Mijas Las Lagunas to scoreMijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén · 19:0081%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.67 – 1.26Mijas Las Lagunas · Real Jaén1 · X · 247% · 24% · 29%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS56% · 58%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Anaitasuna to scoreAnaitasuna vs Alaves · 18:0077%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.48 – 1.19Anaitasuna · Alaves1 · X · 244% · 26% · 30%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS50% · 54%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3UD Logroñés to scoreAmorebieta vs UD Logroñés · 19:0076%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.16 – 1.44Amorebieta · UD Logroñés1 · X · 230% · 26% · 44%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS48% · 52%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.