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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Over 1.5 goalsSassuolo vs Fiorentina · 17:3088%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.84 – 1.87Sassuolo · Fiorentina1 · X · 231% · 29% · 41%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS68% · 72%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Benfica to scoreBenfica vs Alverca · 20:1587%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.22 – 1.02Benfica · Alverca1 · X · 259% · 27% · 14%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS59% · 58%Goal marketsSample20 + 18 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Mallorca or DrawMallorca vs Cadiz · 20:0084%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.58 – 0.79Mallorca · Cadiz1 · X · 252% · 32% · 16%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS40% · 45%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Platense or DrawPlatense vs Central Cordoba de Santiago · 22:0081%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.44 – 0.90Platense · Central Cordoba de Santiago1 · X · 248% · 33% · 19%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS40% · 47%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Everton to scoreNewcastle vs Everton · 20:0077%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.34 – 1.42Newcastle · Everton1 · X · 228% · 32% · 40%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS50% · 57%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.