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  1. 1AS Roma to scoreAS Roma vs Sassuolo · 19:4593%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.80 – 1.45AS Roma · Sassuolo
    1 · X · 261% · 26% · 13%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS75% · 73%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Over 1.5 goalsExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles · 20:0092%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.94 – 2.43Excelsior · GO Ahead Eagles
    1 · X · 223% · 28% · 49%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS77% · 78%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Paris Saint Germain or DrawParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes · 20:0591%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.44 – 0.94Paris Saint Germain · Estac Troyes
    1 · X · 264% · 26% · 9%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 57%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Over 1.5 goalsVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen · 17:3090%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.65 – 1.42VfB Stuttgart · Werder Bremen
    1 · X · 250% · 25% · 25%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS73% · 72%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Over 1.5 goalsOrlando City SC vs New England Revolution · 21:0088%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.04 – 1.70Orlando City SC · New England Revolution
    1 · X · 236% · 28% · 35%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS69% · 72%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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