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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Rosario Central or DrawRosario Central vs Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto · 20:3092%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.77 – 0.56Rosario Central · Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto1 · X · 262% · 31% · 8%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS38% · 37%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Paris Saint Germain or DrawParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes · 20:0591%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.44 – 0.94Paris Saint Germain · Estac Troyes1 · X · 264% · 26% · 9%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS61% · 57%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsOrlando City SC vs New England Revolution · 21:0088%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.04 – 1.70Orlando City SC · New England Revolution1 · X · 236% · 28% · 35%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS69% · 72%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Philadelphia Union to scorePhiladelphia Union vs Toronto FC · 21:0087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.20 – 1.09Philadelphia Union · Toronto FC1 · X · 257% · 27% · 15%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 60%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Over 1.5 goalsInter Miami vs Charlotte · 21:0087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.94 – 1.66Inter Miami · Charlotte1 · X · 244% · 29% · 27%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS66% · 70%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.