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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Trival Valderas to scoreTrival Valderas vs Leganes · 19:0082%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.70 – 0.92Trival Valderas · Leganes1 · X · 256% · 24% · 20%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS49% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Mijas Las Lagunas to scoreMijas Las Lagunas vs Real Jaén · 19:0081%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.67 – 1.26Mijas Las Lagunas · Real Jaén1 · X · 247% · 24% · 29%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS56% · 58%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.