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  1. 1Flamengo or DrawFlamengo vs Gremio · 22:3089%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.80 – 0.62Flamengo · Gremio
    1 · X · 265% · 24% · 11%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS43% · 39%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Over 1.5 goalsPSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge KV · 20:0087%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.08 – 1.58PSV Eindhoven · Club Brugge KV
    1 · X · 239% · 28% · 33%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS67% · 70%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3FC Porto to scoreFC Porto vs Napoli · 20:0085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.98 – 0.98FC Porto · Napoli
    1 · X · 260% · 23% · 17%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS56% · 54%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Viking to scoreViking vs Sabah FA · 20:0085%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.92 – 1.37Viking · Sabah FA
    1 · X · 249% · 24% · 26%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS63% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Wolves or DrawBristol City vs Wolves · 20:0073%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.13 – 1.23Bristol City · Wolves
    1 · X · 227% · 34% · 39%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS40% · 49%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Away or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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