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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Benevento to scoreBenevento vs Catanzaro · 18:0087%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.04 – 1.28Benevento · Catanzaro1 · X · 253% · 30% · 17%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS61% · 64%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Recreativo Huelva to scoreRecreativo Huelva vs Rayo Vallecano · 20:0086%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.97 – 1.15Recreativo Huelva · Rayo Vallecano1 · X · 256% · 22% · 22%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS60% · 59%Goal marketsSample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Lazio to scoreSassuolo vs Lazio · 17:3085%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.15 – 1.94Sassuolo · Lazio1 · X · 216% · 30% · 53%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS56% · 60%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Manacor to scoreManacor vs Villarreal · 20:0085%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.91 – 1.42Manacor · Villarreal1 · X · 249% · 22% · 29%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS65% · 65%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5AS Roma or DrawAS Roma vs Cagliari · 19:4584%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.73 – 0.86AS Roma · Cagliari1 · X · 254% · 31% · 16%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS45% · 49%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.