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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1RB Leipzig to scoreRB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg · 14:3094%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.84 – 1.48RB Leipzig · FC Augsburg1 · X · 261% · 26% · 13%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS76% · 74%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2AS Roma to scoreAS Roma vs Sassuolo · 19:4593%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.80 – 1.45AS Roma · Sassuolo1 · X · 261% · 26% · 13%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS75% · 73%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Over 1.5 goalsFSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München · 14:3092%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.22 – 2.03FSV Mainz 05 · Bayern München1 · X · 232% · 28% · 39%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS76% · 78%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4Paris Saint Germain or DrawParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes · 20:0591%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.44 – 0.94Paris Saint Germain · Estac Troyes1 · X · 264% · 26% · 9%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS61% · 57%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Over 1.5 goalsVfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen · 17:3090%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals2.65 – 1.42VfB Stuttgart · Werder Bremen1 · X · 250% · 25% · 25%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS73% · 72%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedCombined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.