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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1Inter to scoreVenezia vs Inter · 17:3088%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.36 – 2.11Venezia · Inter
    1 · X · 218% · 29% · 53%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS64% · 66%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Charlotte or DrawCharlotte vs CF Montreal · 23:3087%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.12 – 0.87Charlotte · CF Montreal
    1 · X · 260% · 27% · 13%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS54% · 53%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Home or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Udinese or DrawParma vs Udinese · 17:3074%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.12 – 1.24Parma · Udinese
    1 · X · 226% · 34% · 40%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS40% · 49%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Away or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

Today’s matches

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Serie AItaly
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Major League SoccerUSA
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Serie ABrazil
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Primera AColombia
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CONCACAF Central American CupWorld
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Premier LeagueMongolia
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V.League 2Vietnam
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WE LeagueJapan
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4. liga - Divizie ECzech-Republic
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3. liga - CFL ACzech-Republic
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WK-LeagueSouth-Korea
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3. liga - CFL BCzech-Republic
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A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.

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If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.