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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.
- 1Independiente or DrawIndependiente vs Deportivo Riestra · 22:1581%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.03 – 0.66Independiente · Deportivo Riestra1 · X · 243% · 38% · 19%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS24% · 32%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 2Velez Sarsfield to scoreUnion Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield · 22:1581%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.36 – 1.64Union Santa Fe · Velez Sarsfield1 · X · 226% · 31% · 43%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS55% · 61%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 3Arouca or DrawFamalicao vs Arouca · 20:4575%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals0.84 – 1.37Famalicao · Arouca1 · X · 225% · 31% · 44%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS37% · 43%Goal marketsSample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedAway or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 4San Lorenzo or DrawSan Lorenzo vs Platense · 22:1574%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals0.85 – 0.82San Lorenzo · Platense1 · X · 235% · 39% · 26%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS23% · 33%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedHome or draw probability. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
- 5Vitoria to scoreVitoria vs Fluminense · 23:0071%
Data behind this pick
Expected goals1.16 – 1.23Vitoria · Fluminense1 · X · 236% · 34% · 30%Match result probabilitiesOver 2.5 · BTTS41% · 50%Goal marketsSample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weightedProjected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →
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How PickLab works
Real data
Official feed from API-Football: fixtures, lineups, events and statistics.
Transparent model
A Poisson goal model on each team’s last 20 matches, weighted for home and away form.
No invented numbers
If there is not enough data we say so instead of guessing.