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  1. 1SC Freiburg to scoreSC Freiburg vs Union Berlin · 16:3092%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.98 – 1.06SC Freiburg · Union Berlin
    1 · X · 265% · 20% · 15%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS73% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Real Sociedad to scoreReal Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano · 15:1588%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.17 – 1.54Real Sociedad · Rayo Vallecano
    1 · X · 250% · 28% · 22%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS68% · 70%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 19 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Brighton to scoreBrighton vs Brentford · 14:0087%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.14 – 0.99Brighton · Brentford
    1 · X · 258% · 28% · 14%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS57% · 57%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Liverpool to scoreCrystal Palace vs Liverpool · 14:0084%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.52 – 1.80Crystal Palace · Liverpool
    1 · X · 226% · 30% · 44%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 66%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected away attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 51899 Hoffenheim to score1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Schalke 04 · 18:3082%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.72 – 1.311899 Hoffenheim · FC Schalke 04
    1 · X · 246% · 31% · 24%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS56% · 61%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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