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Highest-probability markets from our statistical model. Not betting advice.

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  1. 1St. Louis City to scoreSt. Louis City vs Portland Timbers · 00:3091%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.55 – 1.32St. Louis City · Portland Timbers
    1 · X · 259% · 26% · 16%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS70% · 69%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  2. 2Chicago Fire to scoreChicago Fire vs Orlando City SC · 00:3090%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.33 – 1.63Chicago Fire · Orlando City SC
    1 · X · 251% · 27% · 22%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS72% · 73%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  3. 3Vancouver Whitecaps to scoreVancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego · 02:3088%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.17 – 1.26Vancouver Whitecaps · San Diego
    1 · X · 254% · 28% · 18%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS63% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  4. 4Nashville SC to scoreNashville SC vs Philadelphia Union · 00:3086%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals2.08 – 1.05Nashville SC · Philadelphia Union
    1 · X · 256% · 28% · 16%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS57% · 58%Goal markets
    Sample20 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Projected home attacking output. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

  5. 5Over 1.5 goalsFiorentina vs Atalanta · 19:4583%
    Data behind this pick
    Expected goals1.60 – 1.62Fiorentina · Atalanta
    1 · X · 237% · 25% · 38%Match result probabilities
    Over 2.5 · BTTS61% · 64%Goal markets
    Sample19 + 20 matchesLast completed matches, home/away weighted

    Combined projected goal rate. Poisson goal model, not a guarantee. Full analysis →

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